Wagner leads GOP Governor race polling reveals

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Statewide voter polling suggests GOP candidate Scott Wagner has a clear lead among registered Republican voters, but could it be anyone’s race to win due to a high number of undecided voters? 

Susquehanna Polling and Research in conjunction with JET24/FOX 66’s Harrisburg State Capitol Bureau conducted polling May 4-8, 2018.   Sample Size: 545 Likely Republican Voters 
 
 Here are the results to the polling questions asked registered Republican voters.
 
Q1.  Are you registered to vote as a Republican? 
 
1. Yes, Republican  545 (100%) 


 
 
Q2.  How likely are you to vote in the Republican Primary election for Governor on Tuesday, May 15th?  1. Very likely  520 97% 

2. Somewhat likely 17 03% 

3. Not at all likely  —  INELIGIBLE TO PARTICIPATE IN REMAINDER OF SURVEY. 
 
 
Q3. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President? 
 
1. Approve  456 84%  

 2. Disapprove  57 10% 3.

3.  No opinion  29 06% 
 
 

 
Q4.  What is your opinion of Laura Ellsworth?   
 
1. Aware, favorable  102 19%

2. Aware, unfavorable  76 14%

3. No Opinion   365 67% 
 
 
Q5. What is your opinion of Scott Wagner? 
 
1. Aware, favorable  193 36%

2. Aware, unfavorable  145 27%

3. No Opinion   195 37% 
 
 
Q6.  What is your opinion of Paul Mango? 
 
1. Aware, favorable  179 33%

2. Aware, unfavorable  163 30%

3. No Opinion   196 36% 
 
 
Q7. In the primary election for Governor, will you vote for Laura Ellsworth, Paul Mango or Scott Wagner?  
 
1. Laura Ellsworth  98 18%

2. Paul Mango  124 23%

3. Scott Wagner  200 37%

4. Undecided  120 22%

5. Another candidate 4 01% 
 
 
Q8. Are you happy with your choices for Governor? 
 
1. Yes 359 67%

2. No 179 33% 
 
 Q9. Have the TV ads influenced your vote for a candidate for Governor? 
 
1. Yes  188 35%

2. No  357 65% 
 
 
Q10. What is your approximate age? 
 
1. 18 to 29 years old  33 06%

2.  30 to 44 years old  93 17%

3. 45 to 54 years old  125 23%

4. 55 to 64 years old  120 22%

. 65 years or older  174 32% 
 
Q11. What gender do you identify with? 
 
1. Male  278 51%

2. Female  267 49% 
 
 
 
Area (by record): 
 
27 (05%)  1. Northwest [Erie, Crawford, Mercer, Venango, Warren, Forest]  
 
60           (11%)  2. Southwest [Lawrence, Beaver, Washington, Greene, Fayette, Westmoreland, Indiana, Armstrong,    Butler] 
 
104         (19%)  3. The “T”/Central [Jefferson, Elk, McKean, Cameron, Clarion, Clearfield, Centre, Cambria, Somerset,    Bedford, Fulton, Franklin, Huntingdon, Blair, Potter, Tioga, Bradford, Susquehanna, Wyoming,    Sullivan, Lycoming, Clinton, Union, Snyder, Northumberland, Montour, Columbia, Mifflin, Juniata] 
 
65            (12%)  4. Northeast/Lehigh Valley [Luzerne, Carbon, Monroe, Schuylkill, Lackawanna, Lehigh, Northampton,    Pike, Wayne] 
 
120 (22%)  5. South Central [Perry, Cumberland, Adams, York, Lancaster, Lebanon, Dauphin, Berks] 
 
114 (21%)  6. Southeast [Chester, Delaware, Montgomery, Bucks]   
 
44 (08%)  7. Allegheny County       
 
11 (02%)  8. Philadelphia  
 
 
 
Interviews were conducted May 4-8, 2018 with registered Republican likely voters in Pennsylvania.  To be eligible for the survey, respondents had to first confirm their strong likelihood to vote in the upcoming Primary Election on Tuesday, May 15. 

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